U.S. Presidential Election Participation & Your Success Rate

I'll start. I've voted in six presidential elections - 2004, 2008, 2012, 2016, 2020 & 2024. Three out of five times, I've voted for the candidate that won.

8 times in 2024

Every election since 1980 so this will be number 12 for me.

I've voted for the Democrat in every Presidential election since Michael Dukakis.

I reached 18 in 2008 and have voted ever since. The only candidate I voted for that didn’t win was Hillary and technically she won the popular vote.

I’ve been right only five times since 1980: Bill twice, Obama twice, Biden once.

R3 here- sorry, I left out my success rate.

Not so great

Won- Clinton, Obama, Biden

Lost- Carter, Mondale, Dukakis, Gore, Kerry, Clinton

Does the question mean, "How often did the candidate you voted for win?", [bold]or[/bold] "Whatever way you voted, did whom you picked as being the probable winner beforehand win?" Those are two different questions.

R4 I beat that: all the way back to Carter.

My parents voted for every single Democrat from Harry Truman to Obama!

R8 is your context that badly informed?

13 times including this year. First 1972. (I turned 18 in 1970 but wasn't 21 until 1973, so without the 26th amendment, I couldn't have voted in 1972.)

6 wins: 1976, 1992, 1996, 2008, 2012, 2020

Losses: 1972, 1980, 1984, 1988, 2000, 2004, 2016

Now that I sat down and wrote them out, not as bad as I thought.

This is my 6th. I’m 3/5. I was crushed when Kerry lost in 04.

R3 bullshit….no way you’ve voted for the winner in every one of those elections. Unless you are Sybil.

Won-Clinton (2x), Obama (2x), Biden

Lost-Gore, Kerry, Clinton

R3. I see your correction now. TY

I've voted 12 times and I pray to God that #13 will prove lucky. Wins, starting in 1976: Carter, Clinton, Clinton, Obama, Obama, Biden. Losses: Reagan, Reagan, Bush I, Bush II, Bush II, Trump. 6-6, 50%, evenly split, whatever.

R14, it looks like R3 is answering the one question about how many times he has voted. The poll does not reflect the question.

Win: 76, 92, 96, 08, 12, 20.

Lost: 72, 80, 84, 88, 00, 04, 16.

Voted Dem since I was 20 in 1988. So four losses and five victories thru 2020. And I’ve obsessed about the polls since 2000.

Clinton losing to Trump 2016 was my only absolute shock, like it was for so many of us. Most of them it seemed obvious to me on Election Day who’d win: 1988, 1992, 1996, 2008, 2016*(wrong!) and 2020. Plus both of Reagan’s victories.

The four unknowns for me (based on polling) have been 2000, 2004, 2012 and now today. May tomorrow night be 2012 redux!!

9 Times

First Election I could vote in was 92 - I voted for Clinton

96 - Clinton

2000 - Gore

2004 - Kerry

2008 - Obama

2012 - Obama

2016 - Clinton

2020 - Biden

2024 - Harris

I wasn’t trying to “pick the winner.”

I'm elder/senior.

As a kid - followed but too young vote - Kennedy (60), Goldwater (64), Humphrey (68) or was it Wallace?; don't recall; wasn't Nixon. Favored Eugene McCarthy in primaries.

McGovern - 72 Carter - 76 Carter -80 Mondale - 84 Dukakis - 88 Clinton - 92 Clinton - 96 Gore - 2000 Kerry - 2004 McCain - 2008 Obama - 2012 H. Clinton - 2016 Biden - 2020

5 of 13

Wins: B. Clinton, Obama, Biden

Losses: Mondale, Dukakis, Gore ("loss"), Kerry, H. Clinton

That's not counting the couple of 3rd-party candidates I voted for (my state was sure to go blue) who then pissed me off next time around. Only D for me now!

Humphrey (68) or was it Wallace?; don't recall; wasn't Nixon. Favored Eugene McCarthy in primaries.

x🤷🏻‍♂️^ Wallace?! Nutz

Have been voting since the 1980 election. Have always voted Democratic.

Clinton/Gore 1992 was my first presidential election of voting age. Been voting ever since, just try and stop me!

I’ve voted 12 times for president. I voted for the winner in all but two elections. The first time that I voted for a losing candidate really stung and it was a new sensation for me. I’ve managed to temper my feelings after that and try to be more que sera sera.

I always vote for the Democrat: 6 wins starting with Jimmy Carter in 1976; 6 losses.

Not counting this year, I've voted13 times and six of those won.

1980 was the only election (from '72 onward) in which I did not vote for the Democratic nominee. I voted for John Anderson instead. (I was in a reliably red state so my vote didn't make an difference.)

I've voted in 14 presidential elections and if the Democrat won then I picked the winner. Jimmy Carter will die hating you R30.

Gore 2000

Kerry 2004

Obama 2008

Obama 2008

Clinton 2016

Biden 2020

Batting .500 so far.

r31 Why? He wasn't gonna win Virginia anyway.

This will be the eleventh POTUS election.

I turned 18 a few weeks after the Dukakis election but haven’t missed one since.

Sorry, 4 losses and 6 wins so far.

7 times...turned 18 in 1999:

2000 - Gore 2004 - Kerry 2008 - Obama 2012 - Obama 2016 - Clinton 2020 - Biden 2024 - Harris

50% win rate...tomorrow may make it 56%

6 times

2 losses for candidates who I voted for Kerry in 2004 and Clinton in 2016

This is 9th time . I’ve voted for the winner 4 of 8 times. Never voted GOP. Even when I was a kid, I wanted Dukakis. Bummed when he lost.

If Hillary had won in 2016, we’d possibly be in a great era, 20 years of a Democrat in office!

It’s over …he will get AZ. She will get the Blue Wall plus 3 out of 4 among NV, NC, GA and IA.

R30 thirty wet lashes for your Anderson vote! 😵‍💫

[quote] If Hillary had won in 2016, we’d possibly be in a great era, 20 years of a Democrat in office!

If somehow she had won, she would have been turned out in 2020, like George H.W. Bush. The country can barely tolerate having the same party in power for two terms, and certainly not for four.

You're not going to find ANYONE who voted for Bush Jr., Trump, Obama and Biden.

Sometimes your candidate doesn't win. There hasn't been a good Republican candidate for President for several decades - including Reagan.

[quote]Jimmy Carter will die hating you [R30].

A nod to ol' Jimmy Carter for reaching his100th birthday, voting early for Kamala Harris and (hopefully) seeing her win this.

After Rosalynn passed, people didn't expect him to hang in there this long.

[quote] You're not going to find ANYONE who voted for Bush Jr., Trump, Obama and Biden.

That’s not true. Independents go back and forth. There were certainly people who switched from Obama to Trump and then back to Biden.

R46 - but Independents are flakes and narcissists who aren't likely to be believed.

I said what I said and stand by it.

Voted 12 times (not counting this one), the first time in 1976. I too voted for Anderson, whenever that was. Currently, I'm 6/6.

Hoping to make it 7/6 tomorrow.

R44 ty Captain Obvious—we never thought of such a thing until you arrived.

Magic 8 ball: he will get AZ. She will get the Blue Wall plus 2 out of 4 among NV, NC, GA and IA.

Turned 18 in 2000, missed the Primary that year but voted in the general. Mixed bag for this middle-aged bag.

General: Nader (I KNOW!), Kerry, Obama x2, Rodham Clinton, Biden, Harris in the morning

Primary: Kerry, Obama x2, Sanders, Biden, Biden/Harris

You vote dim.

R52. And you vote FAT!

Girls, girls, you're all fat!

15 times, 1968 on.

Success rate = Carter '76, Clinton '92, Clinton, '96, Obama '08, Obama '12, Biden '20. With hope, Harris '24.

If you only ever vote one party, you're not going to have a high success rate for picking the winner.

R56, But I have a clear conscience, idiot.

My "success rate" is based on voting for the best person each time.

It is not MY failure if others are elected. OP, you're a piece of bad work here.

OP here, R58. If you don't like the way I asked the question, fine. I don't create that many threads and meant this one to be harmless fun. Have a nice evening.

My thirteenth. My first was 1976 (Jimmy Carter).

I’m now at 6 wins 7 losses.

Fuck it all.

[quote]I’m now at 6 wins 7 losses.

Isn't that only as good as picking by chance?