Do you agree with the Oscar Experts’’ early Oscar predictions for Best Actress and Best Actor?

I am familiar with these two and their tragic lack of an OnlyFans. But, how many 2022 predictions did they get right? I always forget to check their cred before falling for Oscar precogs.

Oh, and I keep hearing amazing things about Past Lives and I just want Greta Lee to thrive so bad.

R1 They had a 91.4% accuracy rate for 2022-2023.

R2 Same! I’m dying to see it.

R2 Same! I’m dying to see it.

I’m rooting for Jessica in Long Day’s Journey Into Light.

R3, was that accuracy rate for predictions that came this early or their final predictions before the nominations came out?

Final predictions, R7. Here they are watching telecast and reacting to results.

R8, did they make predictions last April? If so, how close were those? These predictions sound kind of dire, so I hope they are wrong.

OP, Who is Villain Murphy?

Do you mean Cillian Murphy?

The guys discuss Crash vs Brokeback in 2006.

Enough Lange Troll. How many times have you posted the same thing? Jessica will not be nominated. Her film may not even be released.

It’s fucking April.

[quote]did they make predictions last April? If so, how close were those? These predictions sound kind of dire, so I hope they are wrong.

Not r8, but in April of 2022 they predicted Colman Domingo for Rustin (wasn’t released in 2022), Hugh Jackman for The Son (huge bomb), Brendan Fraser for The Whale (winner), DiCaprio in Killers of the Flower Moon (again not a 2022 release) and Christian Bale in Amsterdam.

For actress they had Margot Robbie for Babylon, Danielle Deadwyler for Till, Michelle Yeoh (winner), Naomi Aki in the Whitney movie, and Olivia Colman in Empire of Light.

So yeah they had the winners but nothing else.

R12 Go to sleep, sweetheart. Let the adults talk.

Wow imagine Ben Kingsley winning Oscars for playing Gandhi and now Bob Marley!

I don't buy Fantasia winning lead actress. It's been a long time since a film newcomer won a lead Oscar.

So, judging by their early predictions for last year, they're just full of shit and have no idea what they are talking about.

They're handsome and excitable young men, why can't that be enough? Just watch on mute.

Killers of the Flower Moon. Not Leonardo DiCaprio. As someone said, his acting is "overly showy." He is chewing his own face off, especially in comparison to the woman who plays his wife "Mollie," whose face expresses itself in exquisite subtlety and grace. She earned an Oscar nomination, and she is the heart and soul of the movie.

Cillian Murphy for Oppenheimer. A sure thing, and a sure win. A masterpiece of cinema, and a masterful acting performance.

Greta Lee ain’t getting a nomination.

And Long Day’s Journey Into Night isn’t coming out until next year.

This sexy college kid stopped posting prediction videos after this one. I have a feeling he was getting a little weirded out by the “attention” he was getting by male admirers.

Annette Bening’s getting nommed this year.

I picked Cillian for BA as soon as I read the list of movies to be released this year. The subject matter and his known intensity put him even then above Leo, Timothee, Christian, and everyone else, IMO, never mind Sir Ben and Bradley.

Subsequent events have not led me to change my mind.

I just want Julianne to get nominated for MAYDECEMBER and win.

For Supporting, that is.

I told you that Jessica’s film would not be released. You never listen, Madame Loon

Suzanne Somers for “The Glass Menagerie”

OP- Sorry but no one really cares about this anymore. Hardly anyone goes to the movies anymore . Most people just stay at home and stream something from Netflix, Amazon, HBOMax, Hulu, YouTube etc.

Who are the people thinking Sir Ben Kingsley is in any upcoming theatrical release, let alone an Oscar contender? I’m really asking R17 and R24 .

R24 here. I said, "never mind Sir Ben...."

This was back when films were first listed for 2023 release. Kingsley was scheduled for "Daliland," as Dali, and a biopic can propel an actor as we all know. Who knew it would sink?

I'd like to see both of them in the nude..

I'm rooting for Da'Vine Joy Randolph from "The Holdovers" to win Best Supporting Actress.

I'd like both of them to prognosticate my ass and my mouth, at the same time.

I’ve yet to hear any buzz about Fantasia’s performance beyond it being an Oscar role.

Not aware that anyone has seen it yet.

If the movie is great, wouldn’t they want to start generating buzz?

Anyone who makes predictions for films not yet seen by anyone is an idiot.

r35, GMTA! I was just about to post similar, like where is this movie, if 'Tasia is the favored winner already?

Well, it is here: Release date December 25th.

Will she be more successful in the Broadway to Silver Screen transition than was John Lloyd Young with "Jersey Boys"?

Tune in later.

[quote]Wow imagine Ben Kingsley winning Oscars for playing Gandhi and now Bob Marley!

Ghandi, Bob Marley, Adolf Eichmann, Sweeney Todd, Salvador Dalí, Itzhak Stern, Meyer Lansky, Georges Méliès, Simon Wiesenthal, Lenin, Moses and Anne Frank's dad.

Krishna Pandit Bhanji is the true biopic king!

R10 hasn’t been laid in a decade.

Please Lord, spare me Natalie Portman. No. Hell no.

Ah yes, the mushroom bros. My brain wants them to be handsome, but something is just off about their facial features.

Let's not forget Napoleon. Joaquin Phoenix could get a nomination. Ridley got Russell Crowe one for Gladiator, so we can't dismiss the big spectacle movies.

I have nothing against Leonardo DiCaprio, but his performance in Flower Moon doesn't really warrant a nod. I hope someone else gets his spot.

I wonder if these guys ever thought about doing their predictions in the nude, like those hunks from Naked News..

R43, whether he deserves it or not he will very likely get nominated. In fact it will be shocking if he doesn't. And look for De Niro to get a Best supporting Actor nomination. IMO the BSA award should go to Robert Downey, Jr. for his brilliance in Oppenheimer.

Cillian has it in the bag but I don't think it will be any of the actresses listed.

I saw Greta Lee on Graham Norton last week and the clip they showed from Past Lives really made me want to see it. It looked so much more interesting than most of the crap out there.

Bradley Cooper will win Best Actor for “Maestro”.

I realize RDJ has become one of my favorite mainstream actors. I think he will win as partial legacy award a la JLC.

She’s excellent in it, R47. I also really like John Magaro who plays her husband.

R35, The Color Purple will screen for critics for the first time this week.

I'm extremely skeptical of the movie's chances, both with awards bodies and at the box office. Musicals haven't done well in recent years and the Broadway show never broke through to mainstream audiences, the director doesn't have a strong background, and most importantly, it looks awful. The major criticisms of Spielberg's movie were that it was sanitized, simplistic and emotionally manipulative, and this version looks like it doubles down on all of those qualities.

I just don't get why they needed to make a musical of it. And yes, even the Broadway version. I thought the original movie was excellent. Let it be.

R51 what are you talking about. The Color Purple musical was widely popular during its run.

I think Jeffrey Wright and Sterling K Brown will get noms for American Fiction. I really loved Emma Stone’s performance in Poor Things but it may be too off the wall for a win. If Sandra Hüller is nominated, which performance? Probably the edge goes to Zone of Interest.

R51, The Color Purple might have been popular on Broadway, but that never translated to any real mainstream awareness of it. Hamilton, Wicked and The Book of Mormon certainly had that. Even people who never go to Broadway have probably heard of those shows, and they might even know songs like "Defying Gravity."

There are no songs from The Color Purple with even the slightest imprint on popular culture.

Color Purple existed pre social media and did dam good for a new age musical. Albeit Wicked was pre social media also but received critical acclaim.

I just hate when people judge something before anyone has seen it. No one has seen this film yet besides the filmmakers.

[quote]If Sandra Hüller is nominated, which performance?

She's gonna pull a Jamie Foxx, which includes winning for her lead performance.

[quote]I realize RDJ has become one of my favorite mainstream actors. I think he will win as partial legacy award a la JLC.

RDJ ("Tropic Thunder") would have definitely won Supporting Actor in 2008 instead of Heath Ledger ("The Dark Knight") had the latter not died.

RDJ had the narrative -- banner year ("Iron Man" was also released that year) thus a great comeback after several years of being persona non grata due to his drug/legal issues.

If Ledger had lived, he would have had a tougher time winning, mainly because the Oscars rarely award actors in their twenties. In its 95 years of existence, only four twentysomethings, including Ledger, have ever won in that category: George Chakiris in "West Side Story" (1961), Timothy Hutton in "Ordinary People" (1980), Cuba Gooding, Jr. in "Jerry Maguire" (1996), Heath Ledger in "The Dark Knight" (2008).

R59 I could definitely see that playing out like that. I was utterly shocked when Boseman lost especially since he had been snubbed for even a single nod while in life. But I think you might be spot on with your assessment.

[quote]I just don't get why they needed to make a musical of it. And yes, even the Broadway version. I thought the original movie was excellent. Let it be.

The original COLOR PURPLE film was a blockbuster hit -- #4 of the year after BACK TO THE FUTURE, RAMBO II, and ROCKY IV -- but I doubt this musical remake will do as well.

I just noticed whenever there is a black film the general consensus on DL is that it won’t do well. Almost always. It’s so weird but generally they do well. But almost always that is the consensus on this site. And almost always you are wrong.

“For all of the “buzz” the film, and Fantasia Barrino’s performance, seem to be getting, I just can’t see this one breaking out in big ways. Barrino is also, supposedly, outshone by Danielle Brooks and Taraji P. Henson. That’s been the general consensus I’ve had for months now.”

(This was written in September.)

R62, people seem pretty high on American Fiction this year. I haven't heard much skepticism about its chances to be a decent indie hit that does well with awards bodies.

No, r48. He'll lose it by a nose.

That's what they said about me!

Why wasn’t Jamie Lee Curtis offered “Long Day’s Journey into Night”?

Jamie Lee is TODAY!

[quote] Suzanne Somers for “The Glass Menagerie”

That recent performance as a wheelchair-bound Laura was surprisingly vivid. But that was on the regional dinner theater circuit and few people saw it.

The Oscars are a joke. Next.

[quote] Villain Murphy, OPPENHEIMER

Oh, dear.

[quote] They had a 91.4% accuracy rate for 2022-2023.

Receipts.

Jamie Lee will be a 2026 nominee for her role as Anna Wintour in "Cover Girl: The Dylan Mulvaney Story"

Early word on The Color Purple is over the top raves like “the most beautiful movie I’ve ever seen” and “hand it all the Oscars.” People love Fantasia and love Brooks even more. Sounds like they could both win though I think Brooks could have a tough time against Da’Vine Joy Randolph.

R73: Do you think they would give The Color Purple anything less than glowing praise?

This is just random people from public screenings posting on social media. If it sucked, they would say so.

Well, for these screenings they often invite writers and influencers who they can count on to give a rave in exchange for the privileged access.

Publicists have people they know they can rely on. And if someone burns them, they are forever banished from the list.

This is going to be an awkward race war. The Color Purple vs Barbie and there will be riots if Barbie wins. Oppenheimer and KOTFM are innocent bystanders.

The original The Color Purple famously lost all the Oscars for which it was nominated. I don’t think the Academy is going to repeat that this time, especially in the current era.

It would be nice for a black woman to win Best Actress. The one and only is for a film I do not care for.

I think you should be prepared for Rustin t o get a nomination or two. Probably Best Actor.

R80, Bradley Cooper has Best Actor in the bag.

Rosamund Pike for Saltburn supporting actress. All the way!

[quote]The original The Color Purple famously lost all the Oscars for which it was nominated. I don’t think the Academy is going to repeat that this time, especially in the current era.

Incidentally, the stage show almost suffered a similar fate.

It was nominated for 10 Tonys and kept losing them all night, until LaChanze finally won for Best Actress in a Musical.

It lost Best Musical to JERSEY BOYS, which was that season's smash hit.

That was also the year of John Doyle's SWEENEY TODD with Patti LuPone and Michael Cerveris, which scooped up Best Direction of a Musical among other categories.

So, stiff competition.

Cillian Murphy probably has the edge over Bradley Cooper R81.

Bradley Cooper and his jew nose ain’t winning no oscar lol

Well, we haven’t seen Maestro yet.

AnnE Hathaway, Julianne Moore ,Natalie Portman, Carey Mulligan, Helen Mirren (FTW), Bradley Cooper, Colman Domingo, Cillian Murphy, Jeffrey Wright, Leo Di Caprio.

I predict Jacob Elordi will sneak into Supporting Actor for Priscilla. He’s everywhere right now and Hollywood has a hard-on for him.

R87b here. I forgot Margot Robbie for Barbie! How could I!

Best Actor: Cillian Murphy, Bradley Cooper, Jeffrey Wright, Paul Giamatti, Leonardo DiCaprio

Best Actress: Lily Gladstone, Carey Mulligan, Emma Stone, Annette Bennington, Margot Robbie

Greta Lee

I never miss an Annette Bennington picture!