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Oscar Best Actress Battle Royale

This year’s Best Actress appeared to be sewn up with Cate Blanchett’s riveting turn as a classical music conductor in Todd Fields’ Tar. That was until Michelle Williams as Mitzi Fabelman premiered in Steven Speilberg’s latest at the Toronto International Film Festival. The Fabelmans won the Audience Award and Michelle has decided to go Lead, not Supporting where she had been considered a lock.

Will Cate win #3 and deprive Michelle of her first win after what will certainly be her fifth nomination?

This race is likely to keep DL’s Oscar queens in a tizzy through March.

by Anonymousreply 196December 3, 2022 1:51 AM

I would definitely go for the lock.

by Anonymousreply 1September 25, 2022 1:06 PM

I’ve heard that Cate is just too good not to win.

by Anonymousreply 2September 25, 2022 1:46 PM

It’s going to be between Cate and Michelle Yeoh. Williams isn’t even guaranteed a nom at this point. She’s up against Viola in a black female fronted action movie that is currently having a surprising financial success, it girl Margot Robbie, and perennial critic favorite Olivia Colman. They’re not going to give Cate a third over Michelle Yeoh, a deserving and incredible actress, for a lesbian metoo movie.

by Anonymousreply 3September 25, 2022 1:58 PM

It's either between Cate Blanchett or Michelle Yeoh at this point. Yeoh is most likely to win since the Oscars have been on a trend of desperately trying to prove that they're not racists and care about non-white people in the past few years.

by Anonymousreply 4September 27, 2022 6:56 AM

Shelley Yeoh deserves the Best Actress because she’s not a white devil

by Anonymousreply 5September 27, 2022 7:54 AM

What will Glenn be losing for this year?

by Anonymousreply 6September 27, 2022 8:42 AM

I’m a horror fan making a futile attempt to get attention for Mia Goth’s performance in “PEARL.” It was Oscar-worthy and shouldn’t be overlooked because of genre.

by Anonymousreply 7September 27, 2022 9:02 AM

Emma Thompson will be nominated for in Good Luck to you, Leo Grande.

by Anonymousreply 8September 27, 2022 9:08 AM

[quote]Emma Thompson will be nominated for in Good Luck to you, Leo Grande

No, she won't be, even though, she presented her weather-beaten pussy.

by Anonymousreply 9September 27, 2022 10:01 AM

Nobody saw or cared about that movie R8. She’s not part of the conversation.

by Anonymousreply 10September 27, 2022 2:10 PM

Viola is a lock.

by Anonymousreply 11September 27, 2022 6:43 PM

[quote] Emma Thompson will be nominated for in Good Luck to you, Leo Grande

[quote]No, she won't be, even though, she presented her weather-beaten pussy.

That wasn’t Emma’s. Camilla stepped in as her stunt cunt.

by Anonymousreply 12September 28, 2022 1:40 AM

Sigourney Weaver

by Anonymousreply 13September 28, 2022 2:26 AM

what is the Michelle Yeoh film you think she will be nominated for?

by Anonymousreply 14September 28, 2022 2:26 AM

R4, Academy voters gave Frances McDormand a third Oscar over two black women, and Anthony Hopkins a second over the late Chadwick Boseman just two years ago. If they feel like handing Cate a third Oscar instead of Yeoh, they will, even if Twitter throws a fit. That’s what separates Oscar voters from the pathetic, craven Academy board.

And R14, Yeoh will be nominated for Everything Everywhere All at Once.

by Anonymousreply 15September 28, 2022 2:38 AM

Has Jada approved her nomination R15?

by Anonymousreply 16September 28, 2022 2:39 AM

Yeoh has the advantage of being in a movie that hit critically and financially. Williams might be in the same position if her movie hits with the public as it’s already raved about by critics. The supporting categories are weak this year and Williams would’ve been a lock in that category.

I thought Bozeman was good but Hopkins had a performance for the ages.

by Anonymousreply 17September 28, 2022 2:53 AM

The Hollywood Reporter’s initial assessment:

*BEST ACTRESS*

Frontrunners

Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans)

Cate Blanchett (Tár)

Viola Davis (The Woman King)

Olivia Colman (Empire of Light)

Major Threats

Danielle Deadwyler (Till)

Ana de Armas (Blonde)

Rooney Mara (Women Talking)

Jessica Chastain (The Good Nurse)

Carey Mulligan (She Said)

Zoe Kazan (She Said)

Vicky Krieps (Corsage)

Lea Seydoux (One Fine Morning)

Possibilities

Emma Corrin (Lady Chatterley’s Lover)

Jennifer Lawrence (Causeway)

Emma Thompson (Good Luck to You, Leo Grande)

Mia Goth (Pearl)

Keke Palmer (Nope)

Tang Wei (Decision to Leave)

Florence Pugh (The Wonder)

Florence Pugh (Don’t Worry Darling)

Still to See

Naomi Ackie (I Wanna Dance with Somebody)

Anna Diop (Nanny)

Margot Robbie (Babylon)

Sigourney Weaver (Avatar: The Way of Water)

Letitia Wright (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)

by Anonymousreply 18September 28, 2022 2:58 AM

I think we can take Don't Worry Darling off the list.

by Anonymousreply 19September 28, 2022 3:03 AM

Mia Goth is developmental disability

by Anonymousreply 20September 28, 2022 3:06 AM

I think going lead will help Williams. It's the exact opposite of the usual category fraud and the movie seems to be something a wide swath of voters will like. I would put Yeoh before Blanchett. They're going to make her wait for her third and she's become quite off putting.

by Anonymousreply 21September 28, 2022 3:07 AM

Feinberg’s assessments from R18 are always pretty bad. Last year he kept Jude Hill from Belfast as a front runner for the longest time, even though Belfast kept underperforming and only one child has ever been nominated for Best Actor, and that was ninety years ago.

by Anonymousreply 22September 28, 2022 3:08 AM

I do not believe Michelle Yeoh could possibly win an Oscar for an absurdist science fiction comedy. It sounds like a nomination is likely but either Michelle or Cate will win.

by Anonymousreply 23September 28, 2022 11:33 AM

I don't think Viola is a sure bet. The movie will get a nomination for Best Picture because of the category size, but if Till gets excellent reviews, then I can picture D.D. ousting Viola from the Best Actress lineup. Till is going the movie to watch in the upcoming months.

I also don't think Ana de Armas is really a frontrunner anymore given how the movie is getting blasted in the press.

I would love for Sigourney to get another nomination. Fuck Cate and Michelle. Miss Weaver is LONG overdue.

by Anonymousreply 24September 28, 2022 10:37 PM

What about Sigourney for The Good House?

by Anonymousreply 25September 29, 2022 12:31 PM

Sigourney has been "waiting" far longer than the pinched Williams, and is far more talented.

by Anonymousreply 26September 29, 2022 12:44 PM

Is it possible Michelle Williams could be nominated for Showing Up instead?

by Anonymousreply 27September 30, 2022 12:54 PM

Another contender is Emily Watson for God's Creatures.

by Anonymousreply 28September 30, 2022 12:57 PM

Deadwyler is going to be the real upset.

by Anonymousreply 29September 30, 2022 1:10 PM

R27 For an indie Kelly Reichardt film that won't have the same level of promotion/campaign as Spielberg's film? highly unlikely! It doesn't even have a US release date yet, only a screening at the New York Film Festival next week. A24 is not good at campaigning/getting nominations for multiple films at the same time, and they already have The Whale (Brendan Fraser/Sadie Sink) and Everything Everywhere All at Once (Michelle Yeoh) as major contenders right now.

by Anonymousreply 30October 1, 2022 4:21 AM

What about Sharah Jesshica Parker in Hocush Pocush 2?

by Anonymousreply 31October 1, 2022 4:48 AM

R30 makes an excellent argument for why Williams won’t be nominated for Showing Up. The shorter version, though, is that it’s a Kelly Reichardt film.

by Anonymousreply 32October 1, 2022 7:47 AM

A24 is also behind God's Creatures.

Offsite Link
by Anonymousreply 33October 1, 2022 8:58 AM

Will win - Cate Blanchett

Should win - Michelle Yeoh

by Anonymousreply 34November 15, 2022 11:47 PM

It’s not an upset or virtually every insider has you in the top 5 R29.

by Anonymousreply 35November 15, 2022 11:49 PM

I think Danielle from Till could win if the story is told powerfully enough. Its a horrible subject matter

by Anonymousreply 36November 15, 2022 11:53 PM

Who actually liked Everything, Everywhere, All at Once? I thought Yeoh was very good in it, but I could not wait for the movie to end.

by Anonymousreply 37November 16, 2022 3:36 PM

Cate Blanchett isn't winning shit.

And Michelle Williams is completely overrated.

by Anonymousreply 38November 16, 2022 11:02 PM

R37, I loved it, never saw anything like it before.

by Anonymousreply 39November 17, 2022 3:41 AM

St Vi is going to be nominated for that piece of shit?

by Anonymousreply 40November 17, 2022 3:52 AM

I really liked EEAAO the first time I saw it. The second time I was less enthusiastic. Since then, and I know it’s unfair to the movie, its hyper-enthusiastic, cult-like fans have completely turned me off of it.

by Anonymousreply 41November 17, 2022 3:58 AM

Guys, guys what is all this crap about their performances?

Among the leading ladies, who has the most friends? Which one will have more of their friends, their husband's friends, their parents and director's and producer's friends?

Or possibly - when two or more of them have a lot of friends, they split the vote and an unlikely winner emerges.

by Anonymousreply 42November 17, 2022 4:09 AM

R42, I think it’s also about the narrative. Last year there were a lot of actresses in movies that no one loved, but three of them already had awards so they gave it to the one who actually made sense as an Oscar winner.

Plus, who’s going to really go for it, like Chastain Viola, obviously, but Blanchett seems to be going for it, too. She’s showing up to every film festival that her publicist can arrange to give her a prize.

by Anonymousreply 43November 17, 2022 4:25 AM

Can always count on environmentalist Carbon Cate to jet around the world getting her ego stroked.

Actually, she has done very very well for someone with limited acting abilities.

by Anonymousreply 44November 17, 2022 4:31 AM

I couldn’t get through EEAAO. About an hour of it was plenty for me. I was like, please, no more.

I would support the acting nominations though, especially Yeoh.

by Anonymousreply 45November 17, 2022 5:57 AM

I liked "The Fabelmans", but I loved Michelle Williams more. I'm a big fan and she was great in a kooky role.

Even more deserving in my opinion is Dakota Johnson in the wonderful "Cha Cha Real Smooth" which charmed the socks off me. I had no idea she could really act. She deserves a lot of attention for her performance.

by Anonymousreply 46November 17, 2022 6:23 AM

EEAAO was exhausting to watch and not in a particularly good way, but Yeoh (who should have won for Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon) was brilliant and will be hard to beat. She’s well loved and until recently underappreciated. She does things in the movie that no other actress in Hollywood can do. The current social movement is also on her side. The Academy will have a very difficult time rewarding an already two time awarded white actress in an ugly #metoo movie that’s a pretentious slog that has made no money and no one will see. Michelle Williams has a better narrative than Cate since she hasn’t been awarded either. Everyone else, good luck.

by Anonymousreply 47November 17, 2022 12:48 PM

TÁ!R is so gripping and suspenseful that I couldn't take my eyes off of it!

Cate will win her third Oscar, and the director will also win one for his screenplay, while G will be seething with burning jealousy!

by Anonymousreply 48November 17, 2022 1:11 PM

Why aren't pundits giving a bigger push for Zar Amir Ebrahimi for Holy Spider? She won the best actress award at Cannes but the press barely mentioned it, yet they made a huge deal about another actress winning a consolation prize from a sidebar section that nobody ever gave a shit about, even though she shared it with another actor who was also ignored by the press who never considered him an Oscar front-runner or even a contender like they did to the actress who shared the award with him.

Ebrahimi wouldn't win the Oscar, but the nomination would be her reward, and it could also bring more attention to what's happening right now to women in Iran and also Ebrahimi's own personal life story of surviving the Iranian regime. They have a real life survivor story in their hands but don't know how or don't want to use it... Such a wasted opportunity!

by Anonymousreply 49November 18, 2022 10:31 PM

If there's any justice in the world, Vicky Kriep will win an Oscar for her mesmerizing performance in CORSAGE, in which she speaks 4 languages, rides a horse, and presents hairy labia. She is the next Meryl Streep, and she even looks like M!

Offsite Link
by Anonymousreply 50November 18, 2022 11:26 PM

R50 No way. One-note, overrated as hell and a rip-off of Sofia Coppola's Marie Antoinette. If it was an American or British film, it would get the same negative reception that Marie Antoinette had back when it was released, but critics are easily impressed by a foreign accent. People should really stop comparing every basic actress to Meryl Streep as it never works out! This one will be forgotten in 5-10 years or less like all the others who were compared to Streep. Besides, Streep was stunning when she was Vicky's age. This woman is almost 40, looks older than her age and barely speaks English. She won't get anywhere near Streep's level even with her dad funding all of her films with taxpayers' money.

by Anonymousreply 51November 19, 2022 2:57 AM

R49 I'm sure it was just a coincidence that the only acting winner from this year's Cannes who received support from American critics and was considered a front-runner in May happened to be the only white person among them.

by Anonymousreply 52November 19, 2022 3:05 AM

Florence Pugh's performance in The Wonder is what has impressed me most so far.

by Anonymousreply 53November 19, 2022 5:20 AM

I think Vicky krieps is so ugly I wouldn't watch that shit in a million years

by Anonymousreply 54November 19, 2022 6:02 AM

Cate is in another league. It will be a joke if she loses.

by Anonymousreply 55November 19, 2022 6:53 AM

Not Michelle Williams again. She’s a void.

by Anonymousreply 56November 19, 2022 6:56 AM

Barely speak English? R51 must be having a severe case of folate deficiency and untreated ear infection.

by Anonymousreply 57November 19, 2022 7:20 AM

Why is riding a horse such an accomplishment?

by Anonymousreply 58November 19, 2022 8:49 AM

"Williams....up against Viola in a black female fronted action movie .....They’re not going to give Cate a third over Michelle Yeoh, a deserving and incredible actress, for a lesbian metoo movie."

The whole pile of shit sounds insufferable. Oscar Gold worthy

Offsite Link
by Anonymousreply 59November 19, 2022 9:26 AM

[quote]Why is riding a horse such an accomplishment?

Because morbidly obese people like R53 and 68% of the American people are not able to do it.

by Anonymousreply 60November 19, 2022 11:22 AM

Cate B doesn't bother to show tits or ass in her movie. Or a flash of moaningly getting her box eaten by one of her young students, or even finger-banging some flighty violinist! I think this prudishness will count against her in voting.

by Anonymousreply 61November 19, 2022 11:26 AM

Ugh, Michelle Williams, she is such dire, unhappy actress, how she keeps coming up being nominated is a mystery. How would be very happy for Cate to have a third oscar, she deserves it. Of course, if Sigourney wins, much better. Had no idea she could even be considered.

by Anonymousreply 62November 19, 2022 11:32 AM

Yeoh will win.

by Anonymousreply 63November 19, 2022 12:07 PM

I agree R63. It doesn’t seem like much of a contest, really.

by Anonymousreply 64November 19, 2022 12:12 PM

In a fair world Thandiwe Newton would be a show in for her superlative performance in God’s Country. Her performance left me breathless. To do so though she’d need to campaign, as hardly anyone saw the movie, and she seems to be too unwell right now to do so.

by Anonymousreply 65November 19, 2022 12:24 PM

Tar was a bore. Cate was fine but doesn’t deserve another Oscar for it

by Anonymousreply 66November 19, 2022 12:47 PM

[quote]In a fair world Thandiwe Newton would be a show in

Oh, dear.

PS. Thandiwe is unhinged.

by Anonymousreply 67November 19, 2022 1:15 PM

Too many GOD movies this year. People might mix up Thandiwe's movie with Emily Watson's movie too.

Offsite Link
by Anonymousreply 68November 19, 2022 1:24 PM

R68 does Mescal get his cock or fartbox out in that movie?

by Anonymousreply 69November 19, 2022 1:27 PM

But excuse me for butting in, R69, my fiancé only gets his intact cock out for me now.

by Anonymousreply 70November 19, 2022 2:17 PM

Oh now Thandie is Thandiwe? Because suddenly she has balls during the overcorrection? She’s ridiculous.

by Anonymousreply 71November 19, 2022 2:34 PM

I once saw Emily Watson in person while I was wandering around Covent Garden. She's over 6' which surprised me.

I assume Best Actress will have to go to whichever black actress has a halfway decent role in a halfway decent movie or Black Twitter (if it still exists then) will foment revolution.

Cate Blanchett should never again win any kind of award after her OTT attempt to be pretentious, telling DDL when she won "getting this honor from DDL just EXACERBATES the honor..." lol

by Anonymousreply 72November 19, 2022 7:32 PM

[quote]Why is riding a horse such an accomplishment?

Well, it's probably not for you R58, you fuckin' whore.

by Anonymousreply 73November 19, 2022 10:06 PM

Suck it, Julia @ R72!

by Anonymousreply 74November 19, 2022 10:11 PM

Lol, Emily Watson is not six feet tall. She’s like 5’7” maybe 5’8” at most, which is tall for a woman, but not 6’.

by Anonymousreply 75November 20, 2022 12:17 AM

Yes when we had the last Gosford Park thread one observation was how tall Emily was compared to the other actresses.

by Anonymousreply 76November 20, 2022 12:34 AM

Dame Maggie should have won BSA for Gosford Park.

Her 1978 BSA Oscar should have gone to Geraldine Page, she was nominated for Lead but would have won in supporting.

Whoopi then wins the 1985 BA for The Color Purple.

Annette Bening then gets the 1990 Whoopi BSA for The Grifters instead

by Anonymousreply 77November 20, 2022 1:49 AM

Apologies to F. Murray Abraham, but I would be fine living in a world where Geraldine Page never won an Oscar.

by Anonymousreply 78November 20, 2022 7:05 PM

R57 English is almost an official language of her native country (over 80% of the population speaks English which is taught at school for kids) yet her English is pretty bad, not only her pronunciation but also her written English - quite often she writes stuff in English on social media full of bad grammar and that don't make any sense as a sentence, it's like she puts random words together using her phone's autocomplete feature. Stupid Americans were impressed that she speaks German in that film when German is actually one of the official languages of her country, her mother is German and she's been living in Germany for over 15 years, so speaking proper German is nothing more than her obligation. At least her German had to be better than her English and her French. She attended elite schools and is from a wealthy family (although she loves to lie and pretend she was poor until a few years ago), so there's no excuse to suck in her country's official languages that kids learn at school.

by Anonymousreply 79November 20, 2022 9:24 PM

Maybe one of the ladies from Eighty for Brady will get in as Best Actress.

by Anonymousreply 80November 20, 2022 10:50 PM

R79 - CATE - your OCD shines through your bipolar ranting. Medicate and let it go.

by Anonymousreply 81November 20, 2022 11:37 PM

I finally saw Everything Everywhere All at Once today. Loved it. Yeoh has a very good chance to win BA, but I also think it’s got a chance to win Supporting Actress, but it’s a LOCK for Best Supporting Actor. Short Round!!

by Anonymousreply 82November 21, 2022 12:27 AM

Variety November10 predictions.

1. Michelle Yeoh 2. Cate Blanchet 3. Michelle Williams 4. Daniel Deadwyler. 5. Viola Davis

Offsite Link
by Anonymousreply 83November 21, 2022 1:08 AM

Impossible! No Latina, no Brit = impossible.

by Anonymousreply 84November 21, 2022 1:21 AM

R75 unlike you, I have actually held open the door of a boutique in Covent Garden for Emily Watson and discovered she is my height. 6'. And no, she didn't have heels on. I checked.

by Anonymousreply 85November 21, 2022 1:33 AM

Did she say thank you?

by Anonymousreply 86November 21, 2022 1:53 AM

Michelle winning is Wokeacademy Awards nonsense.

by Anonymousreply 87November 21, 2022 2:06 AM

She gave me an enigmatic smile. On the same day - a Saturday - I saw Stephen Frears wandering around Covent Garden and Pedro Almodovar with some very short, Spanish-looking young woman.

by Anonymousreply 88November 21, 2022 2:18 AM

Cate for the win.

by Anonymousreply 89November 21, 2022 2:50 AM

[quote]She gave me an enigmatic smile.

She hit me in the head with a fondue pot.

by Anonymousreply 90November 21, 2022 3:00 AM

Indiewire agrees with Variety.

Frontrunners: Cate Blanchett (“TÁR”) Viola Davis (“The Woman King”) Danielle Deadwyler (“Till”) Michelle Williams (“The Fabelmans”) Michelle Yeoh (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

by Anonymousreply 91November 21, 2022 3:50 AM

I hope Michelle wins an Oscar someday. Every time I've seen her in a movie, she never fails to impress.

by Anonymousreply 92November 21, 2022 4:00 AM

Just watched Tar. It is very good and Cate has many excellent scenes, and the film is fucking good.

by Anonymousreply 93November 21, 2022 4:08 AM

I don't think Jada has been banned. Will she be sporting hair like a Afro-Rapunzel this year alongside one of her kids in the audience to make a statement?

by Anonymousreply 94November 21, 2022 4:22 AM

Is Viola being mentioned just so she won't be screaming bloody murder? Why would she be nominated for that nonsense movie?

by Anonymousreply 95November 21, 2022 4:32 AM

Viola clearly feels like at best a filler nominee behind the obvious front runners, but her movie did decently well and she could get in on reputation. It makes sense that people still are still predicting her right now while waiting to see how the season plays out.

by Anonymousreply 96November 21, 2022 4:46 AM

R92, Williams or Yeoh?

by Anonymousreply 97November 21, 2022 4:55 AM

[quote][R92], Williams or Yeoh?

or Obama or Pfeiffer?

by Anonymousreply 98November 21, 2022 1:59 PM

R85 didn't realize when she got old her body shrunk if she didn't take care of herself, while Emily Watson is still 5'8" because she treats herself quite well. And on low heels, she might be 5'9".

by Anonymousreply 99November 21, 2022 2:06 PM

I want Michelle yeoh to win what a special actress she is though the movie looks shit. It's between she and the other Michelle, who is due.

by Anonymousreply 100November 21, 2022 2:20 PM

Lol, R85, unlike YOU I’ve actually worked with her. She is not 6’. Period. I’m not going to argue with you about it.

by Anonymousreply 101November 21, 2022 10:36 PM

Saw The Good House. Sigourney is in nearly every scene and she is magnificent. Has perhaps one Oscar-bait scene where she breaks down crying. The film is overlong but she deserves a nomination.

by Anonymousreply 102November 22, 2022 2:41 AM

Sigourney can go the Glenn Close Oscarless route for the rest of her days - I just don’t care.

by Anonymousreply 103November 22, 2022 6:10 AM

R101 = Are you Eddie Redmayne or Paul Mescal or Taron Egerton?

How nice of you to have dropped by this gay chat forum.

by Anonymousreply 104November 22, 2022 7:34 AM

i don’t think the ‘she’s due’ hold any value anymore. Glenn was heavily favored a few years ago yet lost to Olivia - who many even thought should’ve been in the supporting category. so maybe likeability is a bigger factor.,Which G sorely lacks.

by Anonymousreply 105November 22, 2022 7:50 AM

The best looking one will win.

Offsite Link
by Anonymousreply 106November 22, 2022 4:40 PM

R102, What number Saw, is Saw the Good Fight? I didn't know Weaver did horror?

by Anonymousreply 107November 22, 2022 4:50 PM

Vi doesn’t get enough range in her movie to win.

by Anonymousreply 108November 22, 2022 4:52 PM

Michelle is a dull and forgettable actress. A win for her would be about as memorable as Brie Larson's win.

by Anonymousreply 109November 22, 2022 5:11 PM

I'm referring to Michelle Williams.

by Anonymousreply 110November 22, 2022 5:11 PM

There are 2 Michelles here. Please, be specific!

by Anonymousreply 111November 22, 2022 5:15 PM

Indie Spirit Awards Best Actress nominations - Cate, Mia Goth, Regina Hall, Aubrey Plaza, Andrea Riseborough, Michelle Yeoh.

by Anonymousreply 112November 22, 2022 7:25 PM

It's Lead Best Performance at the Indie Spirit Awards, not Best Actress, R112. How dare you uphold the gender binary and misgender Dale Dickey, you monster! (Did I get that right, or was it contradictory? Does it even matter?) Anyway, here are all of the lead nominations, including the two guys who made it in.

Cate Blanchett, Tár

Dale Dickey, A Love Song

Mia Goth, Pearl

Regina Hall, Honk for Jesus. Save Your Soul

Paul Mescal, Aftersun

Aubrey Plaza, Emily the Criminal

Jeremy Pope, The Inspection

Taylor Russell, Bones and All

Andrea Riseborough, To Leslie

Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once

by Anonymousreply 113November 22, 2022 7:40 PM

Where is Florence Pugh for The Wonder? She was great in that.

by Anonymousreply 114November 22, 2022 9:31 PM

She was great, but I can see why she's not getting any traction. The Wonder got overshadowed by a certain other movie Miss Flo had on the publicity circuit this year, and it doesn't seem to be a Netflix priority.

by Anonymousreply 115November 23, 2022 12:04 AM

From that list, Paul Mescal should win every award for which he's nominated!.

And Aubrey Plaza, please. She's always playing herself in every movie/TV show.

by Anonymousreply 116November 23, 2022 3:31 AM

By the way, Danielle Deadwyler was eligible for the ISAs, but they still snubbed Till. I know people were convinced she could win a while back, but I think it’s safe to say that’s not happening.

by Anonymousreply 117November 23, 2022 3:55 AM

TILL feels like one long, winding, condescending lecture after another, and every thing is so clean and shiny in the movie. Not a single wrinkle on their shirts!

by Anonymousreply 118November 23, 2022 4:33 AM

Cate Blanchett (“TÁR”) Michelle Williams (“The Fabelmans”) Michelle Yeoh (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) are locks.

Cate is getting the critical raves; Williams is riding The Fabelmans wave of love right now and Yeoh has the beloved veteran finally getting her due momentum.

Danielle Deadwyler (“Till”) seems quite probable but not locked in...yet.

I think the 5th spot is very much up for grabs. Viola is in the mix but not a sure thing.

by Anonymousreply 119November 23, 2022 5:26 AM

But who takes Viola’s spot? A black female headed action movie is a good narrative. Olivia Colman? There’s no way Margot Robbie gets in for Babylon the flop, though Gold Derby has her ahead of Viola in the fifth position.

by Anonymousreply 120November 23, 2022 4:01 PM

If you want to read satire that isn't satire, read Clayton Davis's awards season articles on Variety. He is the site's key awards season writer and his agenda is as transparent as glass. All he wants to do is (not so stealthily) stump for any non-white performers. It's kind of gross because it is so anti-art.

by Anonymousreply 121November 23, 2022 7:59 PM

In case anyone takes notice of Yahoo! News here are their top 10 predictions.

Cate Blanchett, TÁR Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans Danielle Deadwyler, Till Olivia Colman, Empire of Light Viola Davis, The Woman King Jennifer Lawrence, Causeway Mia Goth, Pearl Emma Thompson, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande Ana de Armas, Blonde

by Anonymousreply 122November 23, 2022 8:11 PM

Wasn't "Empire Of Light" more like "Empire of Shite"?

by Anonymousreply 123November 23, 2022 8:27 PM

R114 That bitch already has one undeserved oscar nomination. What more do you want?

by Anonymousreply 124November 23, 2022 9:54 PM

Spare me the Michelle Williams is overdue bullshit, because we're not having it this year.

You have actresses that have been working for thirty to forty years who do not have one oscar, or who have been nominated multiple times and been in many iconic movies who have yet to win the trophy. If we're not getting to them, then we're not having this discussion over some young tootsie who has given a string of mediocre performances at best.

Get in line behind your more worthy, older veteran actresses, and wait your fucking turn.

by Anonymousreply 125November 23, 2022 9:59 PM

Michelle was pretty good as Gwen Verdon.

by Anonymousreply 126November 23, 2022 10:35 PM

R126 she got the Emmy for that!

by Anonymousreply 127November 23, 2022 11:15 PM

R125 What the fuck are you ranting about? What older actresses who haven't been awarded? Michelle Yeoh? Someone else?

Michelle Williams is 42. She's been a working actress for 25 years.

She's not exactly some young chippie.

by Anonymousreply 128November 24, 2022 1:51 AM

Magot Robbie is the new Jennifer Lawrence. Nominated because the men want to fuck her. She's much better than Lawrence, but still.

by Anonymousreply 129November 24, 2022 2:00 AM

Cate is not winning a third for an off-putting movie although it is likely the performance of the year, male or female. Lucky break for Williams, which is why I expect she moved to Lead. Yeoh's nomination and, hopefully, work she books off the publicity, is her reward.

by Anonymousreply 130November 24, 2022 2:03 AM

Michelle Yeoh's movie is the only one that was successful. Her movie made more money than the rest of them combined. That will make a difference come Oscar time.

by Anonymousreply 131November 24, 2022 4:20 AM

I saw Tár, and I don't think Blanchett will bag a third for that performance. I just don't feel it, but I have been wrong many times before. If it does win something major, I feel like Blanchett will be the first place it looks to. Though, Supporting Actress is so open right now, who knows who will win (I can't even rule out Nina Hoss, even though that seems unfathomable right now). Jamie Lee Curtis seems like the most "obvious" contender for Supporting Actress as she has a rich narrative, but her big hurdle is getting nominated for a "fun" performance (I loved her btw; just not sure the Academy will go for her). Dolly De Leon (Triangle of Sadness) is another dark horse. If Women Talking is winning screenplay, I'm not sure it can pull out another major win.

I hope Michelle Yeoh wins, but I don't know where the Academy will decide to give EEA@O statues. It could give it screenplay and call it a day. Or, it could shower it with several above-the-line wins.

As far as The Fabelmans, I haven't seen it. It sounds like a borderline lead/supporting role (I've heard both from several comments on the internet). It does seems like Best Actress would be the first place it goes to (valentine to Spielberg's mom), or Best Director.

I feel like Banshee of Inisherin will win something. Supporting Actor or Actor seem like the category(ies) that could happen, though Brendan Fraser might gun for the win in Best Actor. Gleeson might hold off Quan, even though Quan has a great narrative. Again, Everthing Everywhere All at Once can't win everything ... everywhere ... all at once... lol, etc.

My predictions: Best Adapted Screenplay: Women Talking

Best Original Screenplay: EEA@O

Best Director: Spielberg, The Fablemans

Best Supporting Actor: Brendan Gleeson, The Banshee of Inisherin

After that ...

Best Picture: Fablemans or EEA@O Actress: Williams vs. Yeoh (or Blanchett or Danielle Deadwyler for Till) Actor: Fraser vs. Farrell (or Austin Butler for Elvis)

Best Supporting Actress: Depends on who is nominated, but it has to be one of Jessie Buckley, Claire Foy, Jamie Lee Curtis, Dolly De Leon, Hong Chau, or Nina Hoss. I think Buckley or Curtis seem like winners to me, if not De Leon as a dark horse.

by Anonymousreply 132November 24, 2022 4:42 AM

Everything Everywhere All At Once is not only commercially a big hit but also a game changer. No movie in the recent times combines so many themes in one movie and leaves such an impact. It's genre bending iconic movie that will be counted as one of the greatest of all time movies alongside Mullholland Drive, Pulp Fiction, Dark Knight etc

by Anonymousreply 133November 24, 2022 4:44 AM

Cate has two wins working against her....Michelle Williams is very good, but it's not her best role (it's more supporting) and she'll get nominated again. Michelle Yeoh gives an amazing performance in a very popular movie. It's hers.

by Anonymousreply 134November 24, 2022 4:54 AM

R132, I think Gleeson has a great shot at Supporting Actor. He’s a respected veteran in a movie that Oscar voters are expected to like, he’s a quasi-lead, and based on his SNL hosting gig, the guy is going for it.

Supporting Actress really is messy. I think Women Talking is a lot weaker than people assume; it’s like She Said, but even less appealing to audiences. Williams really could have taken the category in a walk, and frankly, it’s not category fraud at all. There are long sequences where the movie completely ignores her.

by Anonymousreply 135November 24, 2022 5:00 AM

Yeah, R135, I'd have Gleeson as the favourite. I haven't seen Inisherin yet, but you bring up the very points as to why he'll win, and his movie is TOP 3 IMO. He is the most likely acting winner atp out of all four categories.

Williams going lead was an interesting choice. Her being an Oscar winner wasn't as important as being perceived as a "leading lady." It reminds me of Bruce Dern in Nebraska. And we saw how that went. Quasi-lead/supporting performances rarely win Best Actress. But, they do happen. I mean, would Nicole Kidman winning over Renée Zellweger count? Virginia Woolf was arguably the "central" character of The Hours, but Kidman's screen-time isn't very high. And isn't the central conceit of The Fableman's the mother's impact on the boy (which would bode well in William's favour). And The Fableman's will be a "strong" film (possibly aiming for a BP win), which will help Williams further (on top of the fact that she has been nominated several times since 2006 and is considered by some to be "overdue").

I want Yeoh to win really bad. She has a lot going for her (strong film, her character drives the film, she is a cinema legend, Asian winning this category, etc). But it's not an emotionally "showy" performance, which will be the biggest drawback to her chances, as well as her movie possibly getting wins in many other categories.

I agree with you that Supporting Actress is messy. I'm hoping somehow Jamie Lee Curtis can take advantage of the situation. I'm doubtful, though, as I have a hard time seeing the Academy nominate her. But, I do see how SAG, the Globes, and BAFTA would get behind her.

by Anonymousreply 136November 24, 2022 5:20 AM

R136, Kidman and Olivia Colman are probably the best examples of marginal performances winning lead for Actress, and Anthony Hopkins for Actor.

I actually think Jamie Lee Curtis has a better shot to win than Yeoh. She has a weak category, she can claim to be overdue (I know we hate that term), and she can count on her Hollywood connections. And the eccentricity of EEAAO is probably less of a debit for a supporting performance than a lead one.

by Anonymousreply 137November 24, 2022 5:36 AM

R78 I love Geraldine Page suck my dick.

by Anonymousreply 138November 24, 2022 5:50 AM

Michelle Williams I love her she must win this year.

by Anonymousreply 139November 24, 2022 5:57 AM

I really disklike the Jamie Lee Curtis "going for it" narrative considering she's never been nominated and is frankly not much of an actress and thus a strike against nepotism. Even Melissa Leo had more dignity.

by Anonymousreply 140November 24, 2022 6:02 AM

R138 is Rip Torn, posting from the afterlife.

by Anonymousreply 141November 24, 2022 6:02 AM

So, R51, you were impressed with her hairy labia, though?

by Anonymousreply 142November 24, 2022 6:08 AM

Jamie Lee Curtis is being too obvious with her campaign.

Also: she's annoying.

I hope her co-star Stephanie Hsu gets nominated over her.

Regardless, I think "Everything Everywhere All at Once" is going to do well at the Oscars. Definitely with nominations and probably with some wins.

It was cute, arty, different and it was a hit.

I think it's gonna be Everything Everywhere All at Once vs Fabelmans vs Banshees of Inersherin for the big Oscar love this year.

by Anonymousreply 143November 24, 2022 8:04 AM

Surely EEA@O will win Best Costumes—the outfits worn by all the variations of Stephanie Hsu’s character were amazing.

by Anonymousreply 144November 24, 2022 11:27 AM

The Fabelmans and Banshees of Inersherin will be forgotten movies in a few years, so why waste a Best Picture Oscar on them? Give it to a film that was both popular and a game-changer, like EEAAO.

The reason that people don't watch the Oscars anymore is because they give out awards to films that nobody has seen or cares about. There are plenty of worthy films and performances that will stand the test of time that should be rewarded instead. Giving a 3rd Oscars to Blanchett or Williams is a total waste.

by Anonymousreply 145November 24, 2022 4:55 PM

[quote]he has a weak category, she can claim to be overdue (I know we hate that term)

I don't find the term annoying, I just find it's over applied.

You can definitely make a case that Jamie Lee is overdue for a nomination. She's been passed up several times before for strong. memorable performances. Plus, this is a bit of a departure for her. A character driven performance.

by Anonymousreply 146November 24, 2022 5:39 PM

[quote]The Fabelmans and Banshees of Inersherin will be forgotten movies in a few years, so why waste a Best Picture Oscar on them? Give it to a film that was both popular and a game-changer, like EEAAO.

The Banshees of Inisherin is a better film than Everything Everywhere All at Once ten times over.

by Anonymousreply 147November 24, 2022 5:52 PM

Yes, a Steven Spielberg movie (and one likely to snag lots of awards attention this year) is sure to be quickly forgotten.

by Anonymousreply 148November 26, 2022 4:42 AM

Jesus Christ, it's Battle Royal. I don't know how this ridiculous "Battle Royale" thing started, but it's so stupidly pretentious and it makes no fucking sense in any language.

by Anonymousreply 149November 26, 2022 4:45 AM

[quote] I don't know how this ridiculous "Battle Royale" thing started

It probably derived from this movie, Auntie.

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by Anonymousreply 150November 26, 2022 4:56 AM

Cate already has two. That's more than enough, innit? Oscar should have a Candy Bergen rule: A point after which no further nominations/awards for a given recipient should be considered. If you've already won 2-3 statues, take a powder.

Michelle Yeoh is a deliciously overlooked talent. She made her career on the other side of the Pacific from Hollywood, so it figures they wouldn't know her or recognize her. She's done as many action films as Jackie Chan, and did her own stunts, and has made movies in half a dozen languages, and also took on a Star Trek role without being a diva about it.

Actors like Cate Blanchett, Meryl Streep, Daniel Day Lewis, Anthony Hopkins, etc. put us in an awkward position. We want to applaud their legendary work, but we've already done that several times each. It robs the award of its stature when it's repeatedly given to the same established talents. It overshadows emerging performers, and reinforces the signal that that town no longer loves good storytelling or good filmmaking. If the same bunch of assholes win every year - or are nominated every year - then what's the point of even competing?

by Anonymousreply 151November 26, 2022 5:38 AM

Agreed R151.

by Anonymousreply 152November 26, 2022 12:04 PM

I'm aware there's a movie with that title, but the point is that the title is wrong. It should be "Battle Royal," and that phrase in its correct form existed before that movie came along and apparently was enough to cause everyone now to stupidly say "battle royale" from then on. The kicker is that it's probably just a mistranslation from the Japanese title. If you don't believe me, look it up.

by Anonymousreply 153November 26, 2022 2:18 PM

English language is fluid, Auntie, you can't be a stick in the mud and get offended all the time just because words change meanings and forms.

by Anonymousreply 154November 26, 2022 5:15 PM

"Battle royale" is not a case of "words changing meanings and forms," it's a case of a perfectly good phrase being spelled incorrectly (and mispronounced) just because it was spelled incorrectly as the mistranslation of the title of a novel and the subsequent movie version.

If the title of the Roberto Benigni film LA VITA E BELLA had been mistranslated as LIFE IS BEAUTY FULL, would everyone have stupidly started spelling "beautiful" that way?

by Anonymousreply 155November 26, 2022 5:46 PM

Honestly Idc if Cate won 2, I cant stand Michelle Williams so I'm rooting for Cate or someone else. But I get the feeling that pretentious twat Michelle will get it.

by Anonymousreply 156November 26, 2022 5:50 PM

I still think the only reason Brie Larson (who?) won an Oscar was because voters thought she'd actually been kidnapped.

It wasn't really that great of a performance, once she was released from captivity.

by Anonymousreply 157November 26, 2022 6:04 PM

Tar is Blanchett's Bob Dylan performance, writ large. Much admired but not an award winner.

by Anonymousreply 158November 26, 2022 6:15 PM

I like Nina Hoss but I don't see how giving a few side-eyed glances at Cate Blanchett adds up to a nomination.

by Anonymousreply 159November 26, 2022 6:17 PM

Erm, can we just be clear that Steven Spielberg's mother was a whore who fucked her husband's best friend and then married him?

If a brown-skinned woman had done this, she'd definitely be in Supporting.

by Anonymousreply 160November 26, 2022 6:19 PM

The thing about Brendan Gleeson winning is that everyone knows giving an Oscar to an Irish person is a complete waste. Just look at Brenda Fricker.

by Anonymousreply 161November 26, 2022 6:21 PM

[quote]I actually think Jamie Lee Curtis has a better shot to win than Yeoh. She has a weak category, she can claim to be overdue

It's hard to claim you're overdue when your previous best chance at an Oscar nom was a remake of Freaky Friday

by Anonymousreply 162November 26, 2022 6:25 PM

Jamie Lee is overdue for an Oscar the same way Jennifer Aniston is overdue for an Oscar.

by Anonymousreply 163November 26, 2022 6:25 PM

Battle of the nobodies in films that no one will see!

by Anonymousreply 164November 26, 2022 6:26 PM

Brendan Gleason is not beating the kid from Goonies who was in EEAAO. He’s basically a lock. No one is really talking about anyone else in that category.

by Anonymousreply 165November 26, 2022 8:35 PM

This Jennifer Lawrence film, Causeway, is some pretty minor stuff. She’s good but the script isn’t up to much and quickly seems very contrived.

by Anonymousreply 166November 27, 2022 12:17 AM

I think Lawrence has a better shot at a nomination than people assume, but if anyone gets a nomination for Causeway, it’ll be Brian Tyree Henry.

by Anonymousreply 167November 27, 2022 2:16 AM

OCD aunties can't get over teeny-weeny word spelling variation. Get a life.

Let's get back to [bold]"Oscar Best Actress Battle Royale"[/bold] again.

by Anonymousreply 168November 27, 2022 10:02 AM

I would love if Best Actress were down to Olivia Colman, Margot Robbie, Cate Blanchett, Danielle Deadwyler and Michelle Williams. Those have been my favourite female performances along with Jessie Buckley and Judith Ivey.

by Anonymousreply 169November 27, 2022 10:57 AM

Judith Ivey??? What was she in? I’ve always liked her.

Jessie Buckley is great in everything I’ve seen her in.

by Anonymousreply 170November 27, 2022 12:38 PM

Didn't Jessie Buckley wank her pussy in The Lost Daughter?

by Anonymousreply 171November 27, 2022 1:16 PM

R169, who are these people?

by Anonymousreply 172November 27, 2022 3:52 PM

[quote]Judith Ivey??? What was she in? I’ve always liked her.

Judith Ivey and Jessie Buckley are in WOMEN TALKING.

by Anonymousreply 173November 27, 2022 4:14 PM

Fuck, give Florence Pugh a nomination!

by Anonymousreply 174November 27, 2022 4:39 PM

Florence is a twatbag

by Anonymousreply 175November 27, 2022 4:54 PM

[quote]OCD aunties can't get over teeny-weeny word spelling variation. Get a life.

A few more comments and then I'll stop beating this dead horse...

It's not just a variation in spelling, because people who say "battle royale" even when they're not talking about that movie (or the novel or the game) pronounce the second word as "roy-AL," in the French way, rather than "ROY-ul," which is the correct English pronunciation. The phrase "battle royale" is annoying because it pointlessly combines an English word with a French word for no good reason, as if someone were to say "fait accomplished" instead of "fait accompli." You can disagree with me, but FWIW, that's why I find "battle royale" so annoying -- and all the more so because, before the novel and the movie existed, people used to say "battle royal," which is correct.

by Anonymousreply 176November 27, 2022 7:53 PM

[bold]Oscar Best Actress Battle Royale[/bold]

[quote]Olivia Colman, Margot Robbie, Cate Blanchett

Hope they all get nominated without having affirmative action shoved in their faces. Love love them!

by Anonymousreply 177November 27, 2022 9:12 PM

Is Tilda Swinton's double-role in The Eternal Daughter able to throw her into the mix at this late date?

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by Anonymousreply 178December 2, 2022 12:48 AM

The Eternal Daughter is an A24 movie, and they have much bigger priorities than a late-breaking Tilda Swinton movie.

I would love to see Swinton nominated again, but it won't be for a Joanna Hogg movie.

by Anonymousreply 179December 2, 2022 12:55 AM

The Oscar threads always make me miss Lynn Stairmaster and her lovably insane predictions.

Wonder if she still lurks here?

by Anonymousreply 180December 2, 2022 1:54 AM

I think Lynn is still around, and if I remember correctly even weighed in on West Side Story last year. I hope she pops up this year. She's always entertaining.

by Anonymousreply 181December 2, 2022 2:01 AM

Margot Robbie is an attractress rather than an actress, no matter how hard they've been trying to push her onto us. I'd much rather see someone great in her place, like Swinton. She's been getting pretty great reviews for her dual role in "The Eternal Daughter."

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by Anonymousreply 182December 2, 2022 2:07 AM

Could Tilda make it in as the token Brit?

by Anonymousreply 183December 2, 2022 2:44 AM

Olivia Colman is more likely as the Brit bloc choice, and based on the reviews for Empire of Light, she’s not happening either (the problem is the movie and not her performance, but the lukewarm reception to the film makes it difficult for her).

by Anonymousreply 184December 2, 2022 3:04 AM

So Emma Thompson not likely either?

by Anonymousreply 185December 2, 2022 3:27 AM

Empire of Light got a rave by Variety.

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by Anonymousreply 186December 2, 2022 3:29 AM

For God's sake, Tara is going to be a flop. Cate is not winning.

by Anonymousreply 187December 2, 2022 3:30 AM

Lynne was called out for her yearly stupidity earlier in the thread.

by Anonymousreply 188December 2, 2022 1:17 PM

Tilda Swinton is our greatest trans actress of all time!

by Anonymousreply 189December 2, 2022 5:11 PM

NYFCC name Blanchett best actress:

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by Anonymousreply 190December 2, 2022 7:34 PM

Didnt NYFCC had Gaga as BA last year? And she's not even got nominated at the Oscar.

by Anonymousreply 191December 2, 2022 7:59 PM

Michelle Yeoh would actually make a lot of people happy.

Cate for playing a lez predator is not going to make anyone happy.

by Anonymousreply 192December 2, 2022 8:16 PM

Tilda playing her own mother in The Eternal Daughter seems a mistake. Her hair and make-up are not convincing as an older woman so, unless that is intentional and there is a plot payoff, it seems she is just showboating and depriving an older actress of a part.

by Anonymousreply 193December 3, 2022 1:21 AM

Wait, so Tilda Swinton isn't trans? She's just fucking weird?

by Anonymousreply 194December 3, 2022 1:22 AM

She identifies as queer. She was quoted as saying, "I'm very clear that queer is actually, for me anyway, to do with sensibility. I always felt I was queer – I was just looking for my queer circus, and I found it. And having found it, it's my world." She further stated that her collaborations with several creative visionaries helped her to find a sense of familiar belonging. In a 2022 profile by The Guardian, she stated, "It just so happened I'd also been a queer kid – not in terms of my sexual life, just odd."

by Anonymousreply 195December 3, 2022 1:25 AM

If Tilda or Winslet had played Tar they would have tits and fanny out at every opportunity

by Anonymousreply 196December 3, 2022 1:51 AM
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